Changes in version 2.1.0 cmdstanr backend support - bmgarch() now accepts backend = "cmdstanr" in addition to the default "rstan". Both MCMC (NUTS) and variational Bayes (sampling_algorithm = "VB") are supported with the new backend. - summary(), print(), plot(), forecast(), fitted(), loo(), and model_weights() all work with cmdstanr-fitted objects. - Stan function a_b_scale_jacobian renamed to a_b_scale_log_jac to avoid a future name collision with Stan 2.39's reserved _jacobian suffix (affects inst/stan/functions/jacobian.stan). - The iterations argument now defaults to 2000 for MCMC and 30000 for VB when left unspecified. Previously the single default of 2000 was too low for ADVI gradient ascent. - The backend field is stored in every bmgarch object so that loo() refits and other operations that call back into bmgarch() automatically use the same backend. - Threading defaults: cmdstanr models compiled with stan_threads = TRUE now default to threads_per_chain = 1 (MCMC) and threads = 1 (VB). Users can override via .... Bug fixes - Fixed ensemble covariance underestimation in .weighted_samples(). The between-model variance term required by the law of total variance, Σ_m w_m (μ̂_m − μ̂_mix)(μ̂_m − μ̂_mix)ᵀ, is now added to the weighted combination of H and H_forecasted. This corrects the ensemble posterior predictive covariance for both backcasts and forecasts whenever models with differing mean structures are combined. The fix is a no-op for single-model objects. - model_weights() and loo() now work with cmdstanr objects: log_lik extraction and chain/iteration metadata no longer rely on rstan S4 slot access (@sim). - Weighted forecasts (forecast(..., weights = mw)) now work with cmdstanr backends via a new .extract_param_list() helper that replicates rstan::extract() output for cmdstanr draw objects. - Forecast draws passed to rstan::gqs() are now correctly extracted via posterior::as_draws_matrix() for cmdstanr fits, fixing a "no dimnames" error. Tests - Added tests/testthat/test-backends.R covering summary, forecast, and model_weights for all three combinations: rstan/MCMC, cmdstanr/MCMC, and cmdstanr/VB on a CCC model. Changes in version 2.0.0 (2023-09-11) - All stan models are rewritten to match the new rstan 2.26.0 array syntax. Changes in version 1.1.0 (2021-12-14) - Meanstructure now also takes the VAR argument for a VAR(1) model. - Added variational Bayes VB as a sampling algorithm option. bmgarch now takes VB and the standard MCMC argument in sampling_algorithm. VB is inherited from rstan and is still experimental - use with caution. - Updated rstantools to facilitate rstan upgrade (according to rstan developer guide) - standat now checks for constant vectors in data, and returns error if there's no variance (cf. discourse mc-stan) Changes in version 1.0.1 (2021-06-14) - loo function now takes m-ahead argument for the "backward" approximation allowing one to tune the forcast to arbitrary steps ahead. - Fixed package dependency versions. Changes in version 1.0.0 (2020-09-17) Initial CRAN release